“频率匹配法”在集合降水预报中的应用研究   总被引：8，自引：1，他引：7  

李俊  杜钧  陈超君 《气象》2015,41(6):674-684

基于“频率匹配法”的思路,采用两种方法进行了集合降水预报的订正研究,一种方法是利用集合成员降水频率订正简单集合平均平滑效应的“概率匹配平均”法,另一种方法是利用实况降水频率订正集合成员降水预报系统偏差的“预报偏差订正”法,通过个例和批量试验,结果表明:(1)概率匹配平均法可以矫正简单集合平均的平滑作用所造成的小量级降水分布范围增大而强降水被削弱的负作用,这种改进对强降水区更显著,并且集合系统离散度越大这种改进也越大;但该方法对预报区域内总降水量的预报没有改进作用,不能改善预报的系统性偏差.(2)虽然预报偏差订正法对降水落区预报的改进有限,但可以订正模式降水预报的系统性误差,改进雨量预报以及集合预报系统的离散度特征和概率预报技巧;直接对集合平均预报进行偏差订正的效果优于单个成员偏差订正后的简单算术平均.(3)在对每个集合成员的降水预报进行偏差订正后,概率匹配平均仍可改善其简单平均的效果,因此在实际业务中,应该综合采用上述两种方法,以获得在消除系统性偏差的同时各量级降水分布又合理的集合平均降水预报.  相似文献   

青藏高原、中国东部及北美副热带地区夏季降水系统发生频次的TRMM资料分析   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

周胜男  罗亚丽  汪会 《气象》2015,41(1):1-16

利用1998—2011年夏季（6—8月）TRMM卫星资料分析青藏高原（TP）、中国东部（EC）及北美副热带西部（WNA）和东部（ENA）降水系统的发生频次,定义降水系统为TRMM测雨雷达观测到近地面有降水的相邻像元组成的个体,即RPF （Radar Precipitation Feature）,将RPF分为全体RPF、大面积RPF（面积＞1000 km2）和小面积RPF（面积不＜400 km2）3组,对比分析四个区域内各组的RPF个数发生频次和RPF像元个数发生频次,主要结果如下：（1）全体RPF的个数发生频次在青藏高原地区最高,北美东部地区最低;全体RPF的降水像元个数发生频次在中国东部最高,青藏高原最低。（2）四个区域内RPF发生频次的日变化主要为单峰结构,峰值出现在当地午后至傍晚,且大面积RPF的峰值时间晚于小面积RPF的;中国东部地区RPF降水像元个数发生频次则具有双峰结构。（3）RPF降水像元个数发生频次的分析结果与以往基于地面观测降水量的分析结果相似。  相似文献   

频率可切换的矩形缝隙环频率选择表面     

廖翔宇  李亚鹏  杜国宏 《成都信息工程学院学报》2015,30(2)

基于金属屏上周期排列的缝隙单元结构的通带特性,提出矩形缝隙环(Rectangular Slot Ring,RSR)加载短路线的单元结构实现频率可调频率选择表面(Frequency Selective Surface,FSS).谐振缝隙单元开路与短路时相对应的谐振频率分别为13 GHz和15 GHz.RSR-FSS选用Rogers RO4003介质作为基板,按照12×12的方阵进行周期排列,利用全波电磁仿真软件CST对其进行了电磁传输特性仿真.最终,通过实验验证了该频率选择表面在Ku波段通过连通和断开短路线可以进行频率的切换.  相似文献   

利用三维地震资料研究夹河煤矿煤层厚度          下载免费PDF全文

孙立新 《山东国土资源》2015,31(12)

夹河煤矿位于徐州市西北部,设计生产能力为140万t/a,新构造活动不强,构造稳定性较好。通过对矿区地震特征、煤储层特征分析,认为区内煤层稳定且储量大,该文以夹河煤矿为例,利用常规解释方法和地震属性参数技术解释了2煤层的煤层厚度,分析了地震属性剖面及煤层厚度图的成图方法,从而找出煤层厚度的变化规律,取得了较好的地质效果,为矿井采掘提供高精度地震勘探资料。  相似文献   

Assessing the Measurement Consistency Between the Jason-2/AMR and SARAL/AltiKa/DFMR Microwave Radiometers Using Simultaneous Nadir Observations     

Bin Zhang  Changyong Cao  John Lillibridge  Laury Miller 《Marine Geodesy》2015,38(3):143-155

SARAL/AltiKa has a Dual Frequency Microwave Radiometer (DFMR), and Jason-2 has an Advanced Microwave Radiometer (AMR). Both microwave radiometer sensors include a 23.8 GHz primary water sensing channel. The measurement consistencies between DFMR and AMR are important for establishing a consistent altimetry data set between SARAL/AltiKa and Jason-2 in order to accurately assess sea level rise in a long-term time series. This study investigates the measurement consistency in the 23.8 GHz channel between DFMR and AMR at the Simultaneous Nadir Overpasses (SNO's) between the two satellites and also at coldest ocean brightness temperature locations. Preliminary results show that while both instruments show no significant trends over the one year since the launch of SARAL, a consistent relative bias of 2.88 K (DFMR higher than AMR) with a standard deviation of 0.98 K is observed. The relative bias at the lowest brightness temperature from the SNO method (-3.82 K) is consistent with that calculated from coldest ocean method (-3.74 K). The relative bias exhibits strong latitude (and scene temperature) dependency, changing from -3.82 K at high latitudes to -0.92 K near the equator. There also exists an asymmetry between the northern and southern hemisphere. The relative bias increases toward the lower end of brightness temperature.  相似文献   

不同培养方式及换水频率对坛紫菜(Porphyra haitanensis)自由丝状体生长及藻胆蛋白含量的影响     

丁兰平  颜泽伟  张全亮  徐佩杭  黄冰心 《海洋学报》2015,37(6):114-119

本实验以坛紫菜自由丝状体为材料,研究不同培养方式(静置、摇床、通气)和换水频率(5d、7d、10d、20d)对丝状体生长及藻胆蛋白(PE、PC)含量变化的影响。研究结果表明:坛紫菜自由丝状体在摇床培养条件下生长较好,特定生长速率可达10.832 7%~10.891 5%;摇床培养下的丝状体PE含量相对静置培养的较高一些,通气培养的相对较低,最高为36.816 8mg/g;静置条件下培养的丝状体PC含量最高,摇床培养次之,通气培养最低,最低为1.082 4mg/g。相同培养方式下,换水频率对丝状体特定生长速率影响不大;除通气培养外,换水频率20d其PE、PC含量较高。方差分析结果表明:实验范围内的培养方式及换水频率对丝状体特定生长速率大小、PE和PC含量不存在交互作用。本文实验结果对坛紫菜自由丝状体产业化应用于食品加工、色素提取等产业提供了实验理论和依据。  相似文献   

便携式高频地波雷达台湾海峡浪高观测   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

ZHOU Hao  ROARTY Hugh  WEN Biyang 《海洋学报(英文版)》2015,34(1):73-78

As an important equipment for sea state remote sensing, high frequency surface wave radar(HFSWR) has received more and more attention. The conventional method for wave height inversion is based on the ratio of the integration of the second-order spectral continuum to that of the first-order region, where the strong external noise and the incorrect delineation of the first- and second-order Doppler spectral regions due to spectral aliasing are two major sources of errors in the wave height. To account for these factors, two more indices are introduced to the wave height estimation, i.e., the ratio of the maximum power of the second-order continuum to that of the Bragg spectral region(RSCB) and the ratio of the power of the second harmonic peak to that of the Bragg peak(RSHB). Both indices also have a strong correlation with the underlying wave height. On the basis of all these indices an empirical model is proposed to estimate the wave height. This method has been used in a three-months long experiment of the ocean state measuring and analyzing radar, type S(OSMAR-S), which is a portable HFSWR with compact cross-loop/monopole receive antennas developed by Wuhan University since 2006. During the experiment in the Taiwan Strait, the significant wave height varied from 0 to 5 m. The significant wave heights estimated by the OSMAR-S correlate well with the data provided by the Oceanweather Inc. for comparison, with a correlation coefficient of 0.74 and a root mean square error(RMSE) of 0.77 m. The proposed method has made an effective improvement to the wave height estimation and thus a further step toward operational use of the OSMAR-S in the wave height extraction.  相似文献   

在大洋环流模型中对应于惯性内波破碎的垂直混合的一个参数化方案   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

范植松  尚真琦  张善武  胡瑞金  刘海龙 《海洋学报(英文版)》2015,34(1):11-22

Based on the theoretical spectral model of inertial internal wave breaking(fine structure) proposed previously, in which the effects of the horizontal Coriolis frequency component f-tilde on a potential isopycnal are taken into account, a parameterization scheme of vertical mixing in the stably stratified interior below the surface mixed layer in the ocean general circulation model(OGCM) is put forward preliminarily in this paper. Besides turbulence, the impact of sub-mesoscale oceanic processes(including inertial internal wave breaking product) on oceanic interior mixing is emphasized. We suggest that adding the inertial internal wave breaking mixing scheme(F-scheme for short) put forward in this paper to the turbulence mixing scheme of Canuto et al.( T-scheme for short) in the OGCM, except the region from 15°S to 15°N. The numerical results of F-scheme by using WOA09 data and an OGCM(LICOM, LASG/IAP climate system ocean model) over the global ocean are given. A notable improvement in the simulation of salinity and temperature over the global ocean is attained by using T-scheme adding F-scheme, especially in the mid- and high-latitude regions in the simulation of the intermediate water and deep water. We conjecture that the inertial internal wave breaking mixing and inertial forcing of wind might be one of important mechanisms maintaining the ventilation process. The modeling strength of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation(AMOC) by using T-scheme adding F-scheme may be more reasonable than that by using T-scheme alone, though the physical processes need to be further studied, and the overflow parameterization needs to be incorporated. A shortcoming in F-scheme is that in this paper the error of simulated salinity and temperature by using T-scheme adding F-scheme is larger than that by using T-scheme alone in the subsurface layer.  相似文献   

基于三轴加速度的波浪测量技术研究     

赵杰  惠力  初士博  盖志刚  朱洪海  杨俊贤  王志 《海洋技术学报》2015,34(5):66-70

以浮标为载体,以TMS320C6416型DSP处理器、三轴加速度传感器、电子罗盘为硬件电路核心,利用加速度频域二次积分的波高计算方法以及三轴加速度倾角补偿电子罗盘的波向测量方式,进行海洋波浪要素测量技术研究,获取了某一海域不同时段的波浪特征值。  相似文献   

X射线脉冲星导航中脉冲轮廓的频偏和时延算法   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

费保俊  潘高田  姚国政  杜健 《测绘学报》2011,(Z1):126-132

观测轮廓与标准轮廓的频率偏差和时间延迟是X射线脉冲星导航的两个观测量,讨论其计算方法并提出如下改进意见:①对探测器的最小分辨时间作进一步的时间细分,在每一个小的时间间隔内接收的光子数可以假设满足二项分布,再对观测轮廓叠加可以求得更高精度的频偏;②将实际观测轮廓分为理想轮廓及其偏差两部分,而TOA是指理想轮廓与标准轮廓的时延,Sala等人提出的用相关函数求TOA方法仅对理想轮廓成立;③如果实际轮廓在测量过程中形状不变,则偏差产生的TOA估计误差为一常数。在此基础上提出实际观测轮廓的TOA估计方法,其计算精度小于探测器的最小分辨率。  相似文献